Humala Rejects Chavez
Ollanta Humala changed radically his campaign strategy by marking distance
from Hugo Chavez.
The Peruvian Presidential candidate lamented Hugo Chavez´s interference in the Peruvian presidential race on a TV show: ¨I do deplore and reject this interference. I have nothing to do with President Chávez," he said.
And lament he should. Chavez recent threat to break relations with Peru in the event of a Garcia victory, has affected his chances in the runoff. A late April survey gave Alan Garcia an 08 point lead. Analyst expect the lead to have increased in the last few due to the ¨Chavez factor¨.
Being friends with Hugo Chavez used to be a campaign booster. Not any more, or at least that is not the way it is working in Mexico and Peru where the association with Venezuela´s president is affecting the campaigns of left wing candidates Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and Ollanta Humala.
The Calderon and Garcia campaigns have leveraged nationalistic feelings and fears of political radicalization by associating Humala and Lopez Obrador with the Venezuelan President.
posted by Camilo Pino @ 5/04/2006
8 comments
8 Comments:
"Analysts expect the lead to have increased in the last few due to the 'Chavez factor'."
That's just politically-motivated speculation.
Prior to the first round, Flores blasted Humala with comparisons to Chavez too. Look what happened to her.
Justin,
It is Humala and AMLO who are marking distance from Chavez.
Chavez may have helped bring Flores down, but is also helping Humala go down and is being used by the PAN to consolidate Calderon's lead.
Chavez didn't help Flores down. The votes were very tight between the 3 candidates, and for bad luck, she missed by 0.2 points to Garcia.
"I have nothing to do with President Chávez"
How about Jorgue Rodriguez acting as Humala's bodyguard the primaries day?? Was that also a plan from the right to associate him with Chavez? Good Lord! Humala has a lot of explaining to do to the Peruvian voters.
Camilo, did you read this? Don't miss the video of Cecilia Valenzuela, regarding Humala-Rodriguez hanging in on primaries day.
sorry I didn't put the link :P
http://www.vcrisis.com/index.php?content=letters/200604181650
Thank you Feather's. Saw the video last week. The link is obvious, as it is obvious that Rodriguez has always been a Chavez comisary.
Quite frankly, I think it is 'too little too late' for Humala to distance himself from Chavez. Unless Garcia screws up something major, he has the votes on his side.
The conservatives and the Fujimoristas are *not* going to support Humala. Considering that, Garcia has all of the votes that went to Martha Chavez (Fujimori), Lourdes Flores, and Valentin Paniagua, as well as most of those he drew for himself.
I would almost think that Garcia can coast into the Presidency, but it probably would not be a good idea to do that (why make it a close call when it can be a sound victory).
-Mike
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