Friday, November 18, 2005

Is Mexico Back to Its Senses?

If the Mexican elections were to happen today, neo-populist candidate Manuel Lopez Obrador would win by a narrow marging.

The leftist club would get the biggest Latin American prize: Mexico.

What a club: Archetypal-dictator Fidel Castro, Retro-narco-sandinista Carlos Ortega sitting together with Neo-populists Lula da Silva, Hugo Chavez and Néstor Kirchner in the board of directors.

The good news is that the Mexican elections are scheduled for mid-2006 and, if we are to believe a recently published survey, Lopez-Obrador is quickly losing ground.

These are Consulta Mitofsky's numbers:
-Lopez-Obrador fell to 29.5% from 37.9% in August, losing almost 10% in two months.
-Roberto Madrazo, the Institutional Revolutionary Party is second with 25.7%.
-Felipe Calderón from ruling National Action Party is at 24.4%.

Lopez-Obrador’s fall look promising. Perhaps the Mexican, unlike other neighbors, have learned populism is always for worse.


At 4:33 PM, Blogger Taylor Kirk said...

Even if Lopez Obrador wins, I don't think it will be the catastrophe the international financial community predicts. They said the same thing about Lula, who, despite the political woes, turned out not to be so left-wing after all. :D


At 6:30 PM, Blogger Camilo Pino said...

Hope you are right and Lopez-Obrador is more pragmatic than populist. Problem is context has changed, the hemisphere is polarized and old fashion left wing is gaining territory.


Post a Comment

<< Home