Is Mexico Back to Its Senses?
If the Mexican elections were to happen today, neo-populist candidate Manuel Lopez Obrador would win by a narrow marging.
The leftist club would get the biggest Latin American prize: Mexico.
What a club: Archetypal-dictator Fidel Castro, Retro-narco-sandinista Carlos Ortega sitting together with Neo-populists Lula da Silva, Hugo Chavez and Néstor Kirchner in the board of directors.
The good news is that the Mexican elections are scheduled for mid-2006 and, if we are to believe a recently published survey, Lopez-Obrador is quickly losing ground.
These are Consulta Mitofsky's numbers:
-Lopez-Obrador fell to 29.5% from 37.9% in August, losing almost 10% in two months.
-Roberto Madrazo, the Institutional Revolutionary Party is second with 25.7%.
-Felipe Calderón from ruling National Action Party is at 24.4%.
Lopez-Obrador’s fall look promising. Perhaps the Mexican, unlike other neighbors, have learned populism is always for worse.
posted by Camilo Pino @ 11/18/2005
2 comments
2 Comments:
Even if Lopez Obrador wins, I don't think it will be the catastrophe the international financial community predicts. They said the same thing about Lula, who, despite the political woes, turned out not to be so left-wing after all. :D
Taylor
Hope you are right and Lopez-Obrador is more pragmatic than populist. Problem is context has changed, the hemisphere is polarized and old fashion left wing is gaining territory.
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