Wednesday, June 14, 2006

Lopez Obrador Retakes Lead

With the finish line around the corner the PRD leftist candidate Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) is sprinting a bit faster than Felipe Calderón, from the ruling conservative party PAN, 3% faster to be more specific. Here go the numbers produced by the latest Consulta Mitofsky survey:

Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador, PRD: 35% (-1% variation from May)
Felipe Calderón, PAN: 32% (-2% variation from May)
Roberto Madrazo, PRI: 28% (No variation)

Get ready for a dramatic finale.


At 9:49 PM, Blogger ERASMO said...

Get ready for rioting. Mexico is going to explode.

At 8:48 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just a correction, it is Andres Manuel not Luis Manuel

At 9:31 AM, Blogger Camilo Pino said...

Thank you anonymus

At 2:30 PM, Anonymous J. D Ryan said...

So what's your take on this, Camilo? Do you see Obrador as the same mold as Chavez or do you think he's a bit more moderate? I haven't heard anything about the nationalization of resources, or anything. When I hear hw the wealth elite classes are nervous, that doesn't exactly make me upset, because I see them as part of the problem many times.

At 6:36 PM, Blogger Camilo Pino said...

AMLO would win with a limited margin. He wouldn’t have the mandate needed to become a foundational president, like Chavez and Morales, who are rebuilding from scratch practically all government institutions. Congress would be divided and he would have to negotiate. Whatever his actual agenda is, populist, neo socialist, third way, he will have to build consensus for it, which is, from my point of view, a good thing.

In terms of style I see him closer to Alan García than Chavez but who knows, when Chavez ran for president he made all he could to moderate his image and convince the world that he was pro-business. He said, for instance, in several occasions that he wouldn’t renegotiate oil concessions and when he became president he renegotiated everything.

What I am trying to tell is that these guys run with one thing in mind, the presidential seat. Once they are there everything changes.


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